Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan O'Reilly
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.7% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 73.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 72.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 72.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Last 5: Gaudreau 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (320)
57.1% (1,367)
-8.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.4% (286)
-26.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Gaudreau shoots right. O'Reilly is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (709).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Home
46.4% (151)
59.2% (936)
Away
50.0% (172)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
P1
45.6%
57.3%
P2
48.0%
57.5%
P3
52.3%
55.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.3%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |