Jonathan Marchessault vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). Marchessault wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 42.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 18-6 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Marchessault 94.7%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 81.6%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 96.6%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Marchessault
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
18
(24 meetings)
6
18
Marchessault
O'Reilly
Last 10: Marchessault 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
4
2
Marchessault
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
12
Marchessault
O'Reilly
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Marchessault
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (1,441)
56.2% (15,290)
-14.8%
Power Play
44.3% (264)
58.7% (3,457)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
51.4% (2,826)
-7.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Marchessault is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,122).
Marchessault shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,705).
Home / Away
Marchessault
O'Reilly
Home
42.6% (892)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
41.0% (822)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Marchessault
O'Reilly
P1
43.3%
55.6%
P2
42.2%
57.0%
P3
39.9%
55.0%
OT
42.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
43.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
41.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |