Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Strome 46.8% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 54.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 64.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 54.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
O'Reilly
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
O'Reilly
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
O'Reilly
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
46.4% (371)
+8.6%
Power Play
56.8% (303)
43.3% (97)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (149)
55.6% (18)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
O'Reilly shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Strome
Home
54.8% (759)
47.6% (225)
Away
53.0% (777)
44.8% (261)
By Period
O'Reilly
Strome
P1
55.3%
45.4%
P2
51.9%
47.6%
P3
54.2%
45.2%
OT
64.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |