Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.0% vs Lafferty 50.0% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 57.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.8%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 53.5%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
O'Reilly
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (856)
50.0% (46)
+5.7%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
O'Reilly shoots left. Lafferty is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Lafferty
Home
55.5% (616)
47.8% (23)
Away
55.3% (617)
52.2% (23)
By Period
O'Reilly
Lafferty
P1
58.1%
53.3%
P2
54.9%
55.6%
P3
53.9%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%