Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.0% vs Laughton 55.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.5%
Defensive zone
Laughton 78.4%
Neutral zone
Laughton 52.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
O'Reilly
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
O'Reilly
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
O'Reilly
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (856)
54.5% (488)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.5% (233)
85.7% (7)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (144)
63.4% (142)
-13.4%
On power play, Laughton has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
O'Reilly shoots left. Laughton is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Laughton
Home
55.5% (616)
57.5% (275)
Away
55.3% (617)
56.4% (362)
By Period
O'Reilly
Laughton
P1
58.1%
56.0%
P2
54.9%
61.8%
P3
53.9%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |