Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.0% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 72.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 74.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 55.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
O'Reilly
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (856)
52.6% (464)
+3.1%
Power Play
57.5% (233)
100.0% (1)
-42.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (144)
46.5% (155)
+3.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
O'Reilly shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Kuraly
Home
55.5% (616)
55.9% (322)
Away
55.3% (617)
46.0% (298)
By Period
O'Reilly
Kuraly
P1
58.1%
55.9%
P2
54.9%
46.7%
P3
53.9%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%