Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.0% vs Nosek 48.5% (+8.0%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.9%
Defensive zone
Nosek 57.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 53.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
O'Reilly
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (856)
52.0% (102)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.5% (233)
100.0% (2)
-42.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (144)
29.0% (31)
+21.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
O'Reilly shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Nosek
Home
55.5% (616)
52.0% (50)
Away
55.3% (617)
44.7% (85)
By Period
O'Reilly
Nosek
P1
58.1%
45.0%
P2
54.9%
42.0%
P3
53.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%