Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.0% vs Jost 44.8% (+16.0%)
Offensive zone
Jost 50.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.1%
Neutral zone
Jost 50.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
O'Reilly
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (856)
39.5% (86)
+16.2%
Power Play
57.5% (233)
0.0% (1)
+57.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (144)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
O'Reilly shoots left. Jost is 34.4% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Jost
Home
55.5% (616)
38.9% (54)
Away
55.3% (617)
40.0% (40)
By Period
O'Reilly
Jost
P1
58.1%
42.4%
P2
54.9%
37.8%
P3
53.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.4%