Ryan O'Reilly vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.0% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 50.8%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 56.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 51.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Last 6: O'Reilly 3-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
O'Reilly
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (856)
58.0% (666)
-2.3%
Power Play
57.5% (233)
64.8% (165)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (144)
43.4% (152)
+6.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
O'Reilly shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Home
55.5% (616)
55.3% (436)
Away
55.3% (617)
58.1% (547)
By Period
O'Reilly
Trocheck
P1
58.1%
56.4%
P2
54.9%
58.7%
P3
53.9%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |