Ryan O'Reilly vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 54.7% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 61.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
O'Reilly
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (669)
58.5% (135)
-3.9%
Power Play
57.3% (171)
80.0% (5)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
44.4% (18)
+11.9%
On power play, Karlsson has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (530).
O'Reilly shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Home
56.4% (486)
63.7% (91)
Away
54.0% (441)
49.3% (67)
By Period
O'Reilly
Karlsson
P1
55.3%
54.4%
P2
53.4%
66.7%
P3
56.9%
51.9%
OT
55.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%