Ryan O'Reilly vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.0% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 60.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
O'Reilly
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (856)
58.5% (135)
-2.8%
Power Play
57.5% (233)
80.0% (5)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (144)
44.4% (18)
+5.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
O'Reilly shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Home
55.5% (616)
63.7% (91)
Away
55.3% (617)
49.3% (67)
By Period
O'Reilly
Karlsson
P1
58.1%
54.4%
P2
54.9%
66.7%
P3
53.9%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%