Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Poehling 47.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 64.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Dickinson
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dickinson
Poehling
Last 6: Dickinson 4-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
50.5% (666)
+1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
58.3% (12)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
38.6% (215)
+0.5%
On power play, Dickinson has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Dickinson shoots left. Poehling is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Poehling
Home
48.7% (431)
47.3% (404)
Away
50.7% (404)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Dickinson
Poehling
P1
43.4%
53.5%
P2
54.9%
40.1%
P3
49.6%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |