Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.1%). Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Poehling 49.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 53.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 62.2%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 55.8%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Dickinson
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Dickinson
Poehling
Last 8: Dickinson 6-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
50.4% (752)
+0.8%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
37.0% (27)
+26.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
45.3% (159)
-2.4%
On power play, Dickinson has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Dickinson shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Poehling
Home
52.9% (664)
51.2% (467)
Away
46.7% (572)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Dickinson
Poehling
P1
49.0%
54.6%
P2
48.3%
46.7%
P3
52.5%
46.7%
OT
61.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |