Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.0% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 63.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 61.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 63.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Poehling
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Poehling
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Poehling
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Poehling
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (680)
52.6% (464)
-2.2%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
100.0% (1)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (219)
46.5% (155)
-7.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Poehling shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Poehling
Kuraly
Home
47.4% (422)
55.9% (322)
Away
48.1% (489)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Poehling
Kuraly
P1
53.3%
55.9%
P2
40.3%
46.7%
P3
50.0%
50.7%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |