Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Poehling wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 50.8% vs Wright 45.1% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 70.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 96.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 92.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 94.4%
94.4%
5.6%
Poehling
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Poehling
Wright
Last 6: Poehling 6-0 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
3
0
Poehling
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
3
0
Poehling
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (622)
43.9% (758)
+8.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
50.7% (67)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (103)
40.0% (5)
-0.2%
On even strength, Poehling has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Poehling is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Poehling shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Poehling
Wright
Home
53.2% (393)
46.3% (406)
Away
48.3% (344)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Poehling
Wright
P1
50.9%
46.8%
P2
56.2%
42.6%
P3
46.1%
44.4%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
50.9%
Wright
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |