Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Poehling wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.9% vs Crosby 55.4% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 64.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 95.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 81.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Poehling
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Poehling
Crosby
Last 10: Poehling 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
6
Poehling
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Poehling
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (666)
53.6% (1,008)
-3.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
65.0% (246)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (215)
60.0% (15)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Poehling is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Poehling shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (896).
Home / Away
Poehling
Crosby
Home
47.3% (404)
56.9% (675)
Away
48.1% (489)
54.7% (594)
By Period
Poehling
Crosby
P1
53.5%
55.6%
P2
40.1%
53.3%
P3
50.0%
58.7%
OT
35.7%
54.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
47.7%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |