Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.2% vs Crosby 53.5% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 28-13 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 78.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 96.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 86.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Poehling
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
28
(41 meetings)
13
28
Poehling
Crosby
Last 10: Poehling 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
23
Poehling
Crosby
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
4
1
Poehling
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
6
4
Poehling
Crosby
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,766)
52.8% (18,014)
-3.2%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
57.5% (4,738)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (631)
47.0% (766)
-5.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,340).
Poehling shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,868).
Home / Away
Poehling
Crosby
Home
49.3% (1,688)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
47.2% (1,802)
52.0% (11,539)
By Period
Poehling
Crosby
P1
50.9%
53.6%
P2
47.1%
53.9%
P3
47.1%
53.3%
OT
37.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
48.2%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |