Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.3% vs Zegras 39.5% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 68.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 98.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 94.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 95.8%
95.8%
4.2%
Poehling
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Poehling
Zegras
Last 8: Poehling 8-0 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
3
0
Poehling
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
5
0
Poehling
Zegras
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,780)
39.0% (1,703)
+10.6%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
38.5% (148)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (635)
25.0% (8)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Poehling shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Poehling
Zegras
Home
49.3% (1,706)
40.5% (908)
Away
47.2% (1,802)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Poehling
Zegras
P1
50.8%
40.0%
P2
47.1%
38.6%
P3
47.2%
38.2%
OT
40.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |