Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.0% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dellandrea 65.9%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 71.1%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 55.0%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Poehling
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Poehling
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Dellandrea
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
1
Poehling
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (680)
54.1% (355)
-3.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
53.8% (13)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (219)
47.6% (143)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Dellandrea has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Poehling shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Poehling
Dellandrea
Home
47.4% (422)
54.3% (278)
Away
48.1% (489)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Poehling
Dellandrea
P1
53.3%
54.2%
P2
40.3%
50.6%
P3
50.0%
51.8%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |