Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.3% vs Johnson 49.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 73.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 70.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 52.8%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Poehling
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Poehling
Johnson
Last 6: Poehling 3-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Poehling
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,780)
49.8% (5,396)
-0.2%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
54.6% (885)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (635)
42.3% (707)
-0.6%
On power play, Johnson has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Poehling is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,151).
Poehling shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Poehling
Johnson
Home
49.3% (1,706)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
47.2% (1,802)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Poehling
Johnson
P1
50.8%
50.1%
P2
47.1%
50.6%
P3
47.2%
48.4%
OT
40.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |