Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.0% vs Gourde 46.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 57.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 74.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 64.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Poehling
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Poehling
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (680)
47.2% (687)
+3.2%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
45.0% (20)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (219)
33.0% (88)
+5.8%
On power play, Poehling has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Poehling shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Poehling
Gourde
Home
47.4% (422)
44.4% (356)
Away
48.1% (489)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Poehling
Gourde
P1
53.3%
42.2%
P2
40.3%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
44.5%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |