Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Spooner wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spooner 43.6% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Spooner 84.1%
Defensive zone
Spooner 87.3%
Neutral zone
Spooner 82.5%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Spooner
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Spooner
Stamkos
Last 10: Spooner 1-9 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spooner
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Spooner
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Spooner
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spooner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,540)
50.5% (9,825)
-7.4%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
55.2% (1,729)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
49.6% (827)
-7.5%
On power play, Stamkos has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Spooner is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (612).
Spooner shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Spooner
Stamkos
Home
43.9% (779)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
42.6% (847)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Spooner
Stamkos
P1
45.0%
49.2%
P2
46.2%
52.7%
P3
38.2%
50.9%
OT
35.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2015 | OT | 04:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |