Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Koivu 51.8% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 53.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 87.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 81.6%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 83.8%
16.2%
83.8%
Strome
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Strome
Koivu
Last 5: Strome 4-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (6,887)
51.9% (3,221)
-7.7%
Power Play
49.2% (855)
59.3% (437)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
48.0% (764)
-6.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Strome shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Strome
Koivu
Home
44.4% (4,077)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
44.8% (4,075)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Strome
Koivu
P1
43.9%
51.1%
P2
45.4%
52.6%
P3
44.4%
51.8%
OT
46.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |