Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.9% vs Monahan 52.5% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 62.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 54.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Strome
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Strome
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Strome
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (315)
53.0% (874)
-7.6%
Power Play
35.7% (28)
54.7% (161)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
47.5% (101)
+2.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Strome shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Strome
Monahan
Home
42.6% (188)
53.8% (558)
Away
47.2% (159)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Strome
Monahan
P1
38.6%
49.5%
P2
48.4%
54.8%
P3
46.2%
52.8%
OT
33.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |