Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Matthias 46.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 59.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 50.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 53.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Strome
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Strome
Matthias
Last 8: Strome 3-5 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Strome
Matthias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
3
Strome
Matthias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
1
Strome
Matthias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (6,887)
46.4% (1,716)
-2.2%
Power Play
49.2% (855)
56.3% (103)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
41.7% (175)
-0.2%
On power play, Matthias has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Strome shoots right. Matthias is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Strome
Matthias
Home
44.4% (4,077)
46.9% (933)
Away
44.8% (4,075)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Strome
Matthias
P1
43.9%
47.8%
P2
45.4%
49.4%
P3
44.4%
41.6%
OT
46.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |