Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Strome wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 29-16 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 92.4%
Defensive zone
Strome 81.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 87.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Strome
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
29
(45 meetings)
16
29
Strome
Stamkos
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
6
Strome
Stamkos
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
11
Strome
Stamkos
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
12
Strome
Stamkos
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (6,887)
50.5% (9,825)
-6.3%
Power Play
49.2% (855)
55.2% (1,729)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
49.6% (827)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Strome shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Strome
Stamkos
Home
44.4% (4,077)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
44.8% (4,075)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Strome
Stamkos
P1
43.9%
49.2%
P2
45.4%
52.7%
P3
44.4%
50.9%
OT
46.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |