Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.9% vs Hertl 57.5% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 55.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 74.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 74.0%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Strome
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Strome
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Strome
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Strome
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (315)
58.7% (858)
-13.3%
Power Play
35.7% (28)
55.8% (285)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
62.9% (35)
-12.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Strome shoots right. Hertl is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Strome
Hertl
Home
42.6% (188)
60.1% (599)
Away
47.2% (159)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Strome
Hertl
P1
38.6%
52.4%
P2
48.4%
63.9%
P3
46.2%
58.5%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |