Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.7% vs Zegras 40.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 66.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 93.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 80.6%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 90.8%
90.8%
9.2%
Strome
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Strome
Zegras
Last 5: Strome 4-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
0
Strome
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Strome
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (6,744)
39.5% (1,582)
+4.7%
Power Play
49.4% (848)
41.4% (133)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (407)
28.6% (7)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,655).
Strome shoots right. Zegras is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (552).
Home / Away
Strome
Zegras
Home
44.4% (3,997)
40.6% (833)
Away
44.8% (4,002)
38.7% (889)
By Period
Strome
Zegras
P1
44.2%
41.2%
P2
45.2%
39.1%
P3
44.4%
38.5%
OT
45.6%
35.3%
Final 5 min
44.5%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.6%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |