Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Zegras 39.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 66.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 92.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 79.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Strome
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Strome
Zegras
Last 5: Strome 4-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
0
Strome
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Strome
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (6,887)
39.0% (1,703)
+5.2%
Power Play
49.2% (855)
38.5% (148)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
25.0% (8)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Strome shoots right. Zegras is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Strome
Zegras
Home
44.4% (4,077)
40.5% (908)
Away
44.8% (4,075)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Strome
Zegras
P1
43.9%
40.0%
P2
45.4%
38.6%
P3
44.4%
38.2%
OT
46.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |