Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 45.2%). Strome wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.9% vs Girgensons 46.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 62.8%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 78.1%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 60.0%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Strome
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Strome
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (315)
45.1% (164)
+0.3%
Power Play
35.7% (28)
50.0% (2)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
45.2% (31)
+4.8%
On power play, Girgensons has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Strome shoots right. Girgensons is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Strome
Girgensons
Home
42.6% (188)
44.6% (92)
Away
47.2% (159)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Strome
Girgensons
P1
38.6%
44.2%
P2
48.4%
46.0%
P3
46.2%
45.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |