Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.1%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.8% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 72.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 78.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.9%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Koivu
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Koivu
Stamkos
Last 9: Koivu 3-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Koivu
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Koivu
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (3,221)
50.5% (9,825)
+1.4%
Power Play
59.3% (437)
55.2% (1,729)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (764)
49.6% (827)
-1.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Koivu shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Koivu
Stamkos
Home
53.5% (2,281)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
50.1% (2,209)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Koivu
Stamkos
P1
51.1%
49.2%
P2
52.6%
52.7%
P3
51.8%
50.9%
OT
52.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |