Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barzal wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Bennett 45.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 55.0%
Defensive zone
Bennett 57.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Barzal
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Barzal
Bennett
Last 6: Barzal 2-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Barzal
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
3
Barzal
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
44.7% (772)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Barzal shoots right. Bennett is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Barzal
Bennett
Home
35.8% (53)
48.5% (447)
Away
49.2% (61)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Barzal
Bennett
P1
44.2%
47.1%
P2
38.5%
45.8%
P3
46.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
38.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
43.0%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |