Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bennett wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.2% vs Aho 50.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 72.8%
Defensive zone
Aho 61.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 75.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Bennett
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Bennett
Aho
Last 10: Bennett 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
5
0
Bennett
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
2
Bennett
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Bennett
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (811)
50.5% (878)
-4.1%
Power Play
56.9% (153)
53.5% (144)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
44.3% (61)
+3.5%
On even strength, Aho has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Bennett shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Bennett
Aho
Home
49.9% (553)
53.8% (571)
Away
45.7% (457)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Bennett
Aho
P1
47.4%
49.0%
P2
46.8%
51.7%
P3
48.9%
50.3%
OT
75.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | OT | 00:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |