Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Bennett wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Aho 51.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 21-20 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 51.9%
Defensive zone
Bennett 52.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 54.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Bennett
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
21
(41 meetings)
20
21
Bennett
Aho
Last 10: Bennett 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
10
6
Bennett
Aho
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
6
9
Bennett
Aho
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
4
6
Bennett
Aho
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (5,714)
50.2% (6,646)
-3.4%
Power Play
53.6% (558)
58.9% (1,310)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (256)
46.5% (465)
-4.7%
On power play, Aho has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Bennett shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Bennett
Aho
Home
48.3% (3,296)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
45.9% (3,232)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Bennett
Aho
P1
48.0%
51.1%
P2
46.5%
52.1%
P3
46.8%
50.8%
OT
54.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | OT | 00:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:03 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |