Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Bennett wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.2% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 75.6%
Defensive zone
Bennett 75.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 75.1%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Bennett
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Bennett
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Bennett
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (811)
57.1% (368)
-10.7%
Power Play
56.9% (153)
55.2% (96)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
50.0% (10)
-2.2%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bennett is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Bennett shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Bennett
Stamkos
Home
49.9% (553)
53.9% (230)
Away
45.7% (457)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Bennett
Stamkos
P1
47.4%
56.7%
P2
46.8%
54.1%
P3
48.9%
59.2%
OT
75.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |