Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Bennett wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.2% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 74.6%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 69.0%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 54.1%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Bennett
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bennett
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (811)
45.1% (164)
+1.3%
Power Play
56.9% (153)
50.0% (2)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
45.2% (31)
+2.6%
On power play, Bennett has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Bennett shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Bennett
Girgensons
Home
49.9% (553)
44.6% (92)
Away
45.7% (457)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Bennett
Girgensons
P1
47.4%
44.2%
P2
46.8%
46.0%
P3
48.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |