Chandler Stephenson vs Sam Carrick
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Carrick 54.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 86.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 70.7%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 70.3%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Stephenson
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Stephenson
Carrick
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
Stephenson
Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
4
Stephenson
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
4
Stephenson
Carrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
55.5% (470)
-3.5%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
66.7% (3)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
50.0% (58)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Stephenson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Stephenson shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Carrick
Home
53.1% (672)
58.6% (261)
Away
51.1% (628)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Stephenson
Carrick
P1
54.2%
55.9%
P2
50.7%
53.5%
P3
52.0%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |