Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 54.2% vs Steel 50.6% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Steel 65.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 76.1%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Carrick
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (470)
52.5% (200)
+3.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
71.4% (7)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (58)
40.0% (45)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Carrick shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Carrick
Steel
Home
58.6% (261)
49.5% (109)
Away
51.5% (270)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Carrick
Steel
P1
55.9%
49.5%
P2
53.5%
47.5%
P3
55.6%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%