Sam Carrick vs Sebastian Aho

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sam Carrick holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Carrick 52.2% vs Aho 51.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor Aho leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone Aho 82.7%
Defensive zone Carrick 82.2%
Neutral zone Carrick 54.7%
Result Sebastian Aho favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Carrick Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 9 (14 meetings)
5
9
Carrick Aho
Last 10: Carrick 5-5 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
7
Carrick Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
1
Carrick Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Carrick Aho
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Carrick
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (2,544)
50.2% (6,646)
+2.0%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
58.9% (1,310)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (435)
46.5% (465)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +4.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Aho shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Carrick shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Carrick
Aho
Home
51.5% (1,477)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
53.0% (1,577)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Carrick
Aho
P1
51.8%
51.1%
P2
52.3%
52.1%
P3
52.6%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
50.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
60.0%
57.0%
52.3%
Aho
60.0%
50.5%
51.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 5, 2026 2 11:18 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 4, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Nov 4, 2025 2 18:26 Defensive Sam Carrick
Nov 4, 2025 2 18:14 Defensive Sam Carrick
Nov 4, 2025 1 14:06 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Jan 28, 2025 1 18:40 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Dec 22, 2024 3 12:02 Defensive Sam Carrick
Jan 11, 2024 3 08:58 Offensive Sam Carrick
Jan 11, 2024 1 11:03 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Feb 25, 2023 3 16:16 Defensive Sam Carrick
Feb 25, 2023 2 15:25 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Dec 6, 2022 2 10:07 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Dec 6, 2022 2 06:55 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Dec 6, 2022 1 16:47 Offensive Sebastian Aho