Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 52.2% vs Pinto 50.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 53.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 66.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Carrick
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Carrick
Pinto
Last 7: Carrick 5-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Carrick
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
0
Carrick
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
0
Carrick
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (2,544)
50.7% (2,752)
+1.5%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
54.4% (90)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (435)
45.6% (239)
+5.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Carrick shoots right. Pinto is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Carrick
Pinto
Home
51.5% (1,477)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
53.0% (1,577)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Carrick
Pinto
P1
51.8%
48.4%
P2
52.3%
51.9%
P3
52.6%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |