Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 52.2% vs Blueger 50.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 84.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 64.1%
Neutral zone
Carrick 66.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Carrick
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Carrick
Blueger
Last 9: Carrick 6-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Carrick
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
1
Carrick
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
1
Carrick
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (2,544)
52.2% (3,582)
+0.0%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
50.6% (77)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (435)
42.7% (1,103)
+8.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Carrick shoots right. Blueger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,529).
Home / Away
Carrick
Blueger
Home
51.5% (1,477)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
53.0% (1,577)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Carrick
Blueger
P1
51.8%
49.2%
P2
52.3%
52.2%
P3
52.6%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |