Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 52.2% vs Mitchell 50.8% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 50.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 53.0%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 51.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Carrick
Mitchell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (2,544)
50.7% (2,523)
+1.5%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
54.3% (35)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (435)
50.7% (473)
+0.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Carrick shoots right. Mitchell is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Carrick
Mitchell
Home
51.5% (1,477)
52.1% (1,521)
Away
53.0% (1,577)
49.5% (1,512)
By Period
Carrick
Mitchell
P1
51.8%
54.8%
P2
52.3%
48.1%
P3
52.6%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%