Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 52.2% vs Eklund 36.0% (+20.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 67.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 96.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 93.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 90.8%
90.8%
9.2%
Carrick
Eklund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carrick
Eklund
Last 5: Carrick 4-1 Eklund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eklund
0
1
Carrick
Eklund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
0
Carrick
Eklund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Eklund
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (2,544)
30.7% (270)
+21.5%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
50.0% (22)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (435)
15.4% (13)
+35.4%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eklund shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Carrick shoots right. Eklund is 33.6% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Carrick
Eklund
Home
51.5% (1,477)
30.8% (169)
Away
53.0% (1,577)
32.4% (136)
By Period
Carrick
Eklund
P1
51.8%
30.0%
P2
52.3%
28.3%
P3
52.6%
37.2%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.9%
25.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Eklund
30.0%▲
28.5%
31.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | William Eklund |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |