Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Nosek 53.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 53.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 92.0%
Neutral zone
Nosek 77.1%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Gagner
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Gagner
Nosek
Last 10: Gagner 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
1
Gagner
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Gagner
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
1
Gagner
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
54.9% (2,710)
-9.5%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
45.8% (48)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
47.2% (428)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Gagner
Nosek
Home
48.7% (3,025)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Gagner
Nosek
P1
44.6%
52.2%
P2
46.1%
54.1%
P3
47.3%
54.7%
OT
42.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |