Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 47.5% vs Boyd 44.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 51.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 78.8%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 69.1%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Lafferty
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lafferty
Boyd
Last 9: Lafferty 6-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
0
Lafferty
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
2
0
Lafferty
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Lafferty
Boyd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (1,417)
44.4% (2,186)
+3.5%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
46.5% (256)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (184)
35.6% (208)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Lafferty shoots right. Boyd is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Boyd
Home
47.3% (833)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
47.4% (814)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Lafferty
Boyd
P1
49.4%
41.7%
P2
43.1%
46.2%
P3
49.6%
44.0%
OT
60.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |