Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Reinhart wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.9% vs Crosby 55.1% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 61.3%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 60.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 58.6%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Reinhart
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Reinhart
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Reinhart
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Reinhart
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (77)
53.3% (1,025)
-14.3%
Power Play
35.4% (48)
64.7% (249)
-29.3%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (22)
60.0% (15)
-19.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Reinhart shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Crosby
Home
35.7% (84)
56.9% (675)
Away
41.3% (63)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Reinhart
Crosby
P1
42.6%
55.1%
P2
34.7%
53.1%
P3
37.3%
58.5%
Final 5 min
28.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |