Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Reinhart wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 43.3% vs Nosek 53.6% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 77.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 53.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 67.2%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Reinhart
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Reinhart
Nosek
Last 8: Reinhart 3-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
3
0
Reinhart
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
4
Reinhart
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Reinhart
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (2,173)
54.9% (2,710)
-12.4%
Power Play
46.5% (525)
45.8% (48)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (339)
47.2% (428)
-5.9%
On even strength, Nosek has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Reinhart shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Nosek
Home
44.9% (1,528)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
41.2% (1,509)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Reinhart
Nosek
P1
44.5%
52.2%
P2
40.5%
54.1%
P3
44.5%
54.7%
OT
43.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |