Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 57.3% vs Steel 50.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 62.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 61.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 66.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Bergeron
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Bergeron
Steel
Last 6: Bergeron 2-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
4
Bergeron
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
59.9% (870)
49.7% (638)
+10.2%
Power Play
54.4% (272)
60.3% (63)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (169)
42.4% (33)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bergeron is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Bergeron shoots right. Steel is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Steel
Home
57.8% (611)
47.3% (349)
Away
58.0% (700)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Bergeron
Steel
P1
57.7%
51.2%
P2
57.6%
49.8%
P3
58.7%
50.0%
OT
52.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.9%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |