Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Byfield wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.0% vs Steel 50.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Byfield 78.9%
Defensive zone
Byfield 71.5%
Neutral zone
Byfield 79.2%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Byfield
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Byfield
Steel
Last 10: Byfield 2-8 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
4
2
Byfield
Steel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
4
Byfield
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
3
9
Byfield
Steel
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (2,149)
50.6% (2,876)
-5.2%
Power Play
47.8% (113)
62.6% (179)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (230)
37.4% (254)
+0.4%
On power play, Steel has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Byfield is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,656).
Byfield shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Byfield
Steel
Home
45.3% (1,183)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
44.4% (1,309)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Byfield
Steel
P1
45.2%
51.9%
P2
43.7%
49.5%
P3
45.9%
49.6%
OT
40.5%
41.9%
Final 5 min
42.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 14:38 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |