Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Steel wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.6% vs Hertl 57.5% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 77.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 71.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Steel
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (200)
58.7% (858)
-6.2%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
55.8% (285)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
62.9% (35)
-22.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Steel shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Steel
Hertl
Home
49.5% (109)
60.1% (599)
Away
51.7% (143)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Steel
Hertl
P1
49.5%
52.4%
P2
47.5%
63.9%
P3
56.6%
58.5%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%