Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Steel wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.6% vs Nosek 48.5% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Steel 56.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 53.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Steel
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (200)
52.0% (102)
+0.5%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
100.0% (2)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
29.0% (31)
+11.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Steel shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Steel
Nosek
Home
49.5% (109)
52.0% (50)
Away
51.7% (143)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Steel
Nosek
P1
49.5%
45.0%
P2
47.5%
42.0%
P3
56.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%