Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Helenius wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helenius 46.6% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 50.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 85.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 63.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Helenius
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Helenius
Kuraly
Last 7: Helenius 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
1
0
Helenius
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helenius
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Helenius
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helenius
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (488)
51.6% (5,161)
-5.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.4% (101)
-56.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
44.4% (1,091)
-24.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Helenius is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Helenius shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Helenius
Kuraly
Home
44.5% (272)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
47.5% (223)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Helenius
Kuraly
P1
50.6%
51.2%
P2
40.1%
50.0%
P3
46.5%
50.2%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helenius
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |